Latest Publications

  • 29 November 2018

    MP Larry Maguire (Brandon – Souris, CPC) requested the PBO to prepare an estimate of the total and projected costs to the federal government in managing the increase in irregular arrivals. This report presents an average unit cost per refugee claimant, based on the costs associated with the federal organizations involved in the asylum process, as well as a sensitivity analysis of future costs.

  • 27 November 2018

    This report responds to a request to provide the estimated fiscal cost of reducing the federal corporate income tax rate by 1 percentage point per year over 6 years. By the end of 6 years, this presents a combined federal-provincial statutory rate of 20.7%.

  • 8 November 2018

    This note presents a detailed analysis of the Government’s first supplementary estimates for the 2018-19 fiscal year, which seeks Parliament’s approval of $7.5 billion.

  • 6 November 2018

    This note provides a technical description of a “personnel generation” model that estimates, and forecasts costs associated with, increases in military personnel.  Personnel generation is central to military organizations; it is the first modelled within PBO’s family of tools designed to assess the overall defence portfolio.

  • 23 October 2018

    Consistent with the Parliamentary Budget Officer’s legislated mandate, this report provides PBO’s economic and fiscal outlook.

  • 23 October 2018

    This report provides parliamentarians with an assessment of the state of Canada’s labour market. It examines labour market indicators relative to their trend estimates, and looks at wage inequality at the national level, as well as across provinces and by gender.

  • 27 September 2018

    This report provides PBO’s assessment of the sustainability of government finances over the long term for the federal government, subnational governments and public pension plans.

  • 22 August 2018

    This report a status update on Phase 1 of the Government’s Investing in Canada Plan, which was announced in Budget 2016 and intended to provide a short-term economic boost to the economy.

  • 22 August 2018

    This report describes PBO’s approach to measuring potential GDP.

  • 18 July 2018

    In preparation for the financial costing of election campaign proposals in 2019, the PBO is taking this opportunity to produce an extended outlook and line-item costing. The PBO encourages parliamentarians and their political parties to provide feedback regarding this initiative.