Category : National Finance

Federal Personnel Spending - Past and future trends

This report examines federal personnel spending, including: (i) recent trends in spending on federal personnel , (ii) PBO’s medium-term forecast for personnel spending  and (iii) analysis of important cost drivers underlying PBO’s personnel forecast.

Budget 2018: Issues for Parliamentarians

To assist parliamentarians in their budget deliberations, this report highlights key issues arising from Budget 2018.

Economic and Fiscal Monitor - January 2018

This report provides an in-year estimate of Canadian gross domestic product in 2017 and the Government of Canada’s budgetary balance in 2017 18, based on data released since our October 2017 Economic and Fiscal Outlook, up to and including 12 January 2018.

PBO and Finance Canada Long-term Projection Comparison

This report provides a comparison of long-term economic and fiscal projections prepared by Finance Canada and PBO in 2017.

Analysis of Changes to the Taxation of Corporate Passive Investment Income

On July 18, 2017, the Minister of Finance announced consultations on tax planning strategies involving the use of private corporations.  This report analyzes potential changes to the taxation of corporate passive investment income, one of the policy proposals put forth as part of the consultations. 

Federal Support for Low Income Individuals and Families

Approximately 3.2 million to 5.0 million Canadians have low income.

In 2016, the Government committed to developing a poverty reduction strategy.  To support parliamentarians in their deliberations regarding this strategy, the Parliamentary Budget Officer initiated a census of all existing federal support and services to low income Canadians and vulnerable groups.

Overall, we identified 75 federal initiatives that provide roughly $57 billion of financial support or services to people with low income and other vulnerable groups in 2017-18—55 programs with expenditures of $39.3 billion and 20 tax expenditures that provided $17.5 billion.

Fall Economic Statement 2017: Issues for Parliamentarians

This report identifies key issues arising from the Government’s Fall Economic Statement.

Supplementary Estimates (B) 2017-18

This note presents a detailed analysis of the Government’s second supplementary estimates for the 2017-18 fiscal year.

Economic and Fiscal Outlook – October 2017

Consistent with the Parliamentary Budget Officer’s legislated mandate, this report provides PBO’s economic and fiscal outlook.

Fiscal Sustainability Report 2017

This report provides PBO’s assessment of the sustainability of government finances over the long term for the federal government, subnational governments and public pension plans.

Economic and Fiscal Monitor - August 2017

This report provides an in-year estimate of Canadian gross domestic product in 2017 and the Government of Canada’s budgetary balance in 2016 - 17 and 2017-18, based on data released since our April 2017 Economic and Fiscal Outlook.

Sensitivity of PBO’s Fiscal Outlook to Economic Shocks

The PBO has prepared sensitivity estimates of our fiscal outlook to three types of economic shocks.  An interactive web application has also been launched, which allows the public to assess how changing certain macroeconomic assumptions for growth and interest rates will affect the PBO fiscal projection.

Reforms to the Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer Proposed in Bill C-44

This discussion paper is intended to assist members of the Senate and the House of Commons as they study clauses 128 to 129 and 131 to 190 in Division 7 of Part 4 of Bill C-44, An Act to implement certain provisions of the budget tabled in Parliament on March 22, 2017 and other measures (Bill C-44).

Consultations with Parliamentary Budget Office stakeholders - Nanos Research Presentation, December 16th, 2016

PBO publishes the conclusions of Nanos’ stakeholder consultations in the form of focus groups and elite interviews. The consultations had the overall objective of allowing the PBO to gauge a better understanding of drivers of satisfaction for its stakeholders with the products, reports and analyses it provides them, and thereby improve its service to parliamentarians and stakeholders. 

Economic and Fiscal Outlook - April 2017

This report responds to the 4 February 2016 Standing Committee on Finance motion that “consistent with the Parliamentary Budget Office (PBO) mandate to provide independent analysis about the state of Canada’s finances and trends in the national economy (as outlined in section 79.2 of the Parliament of Canada Act), the PBO provide an economic and fiscal outlook to the Committee the fourth week of October and April of every calendar year, and be available to appear before the Committee to discuss its findings shortly thereafter.”

Economic and Fiscal Monitor 2016-17

This report provides an in-year estimate of Canadian GDP in 2016 and the Government of Canada’s budgetary balance in 2016-17 based on data released since our October 2016 Economic and Fiscal Outlook.

Expenditure Monitor 2016-2017 Q2

Government expenditures for the first half of 2016-2017 were $136.5 billion, an increase of 3.7% over the same period last year.  This growth lags the overall increase in budgeted spending (5.6%), owing to delays in implementing the Government’s economic priorities, in particular new infrastructure investments.

Considerations for Parliament in Reforming the Business of Supply

This report outlines considerations for parliamentarians regarding the Government’s proposals to reform the Business of Supply.

Fall Economic Statement 2016: Issues for Parliamentarians

To assist parliamentarians in their pre-budget deliberations, this report identifies key issues arising from the Government’s Fall Economic Statement 2016.