Report Archive

Category : National Finance

Economic and Fiscal Monitor - August 2017

This report provides an in-year estimate of Canadian gross domestic product in 2017 and the Government of Canada’s budgetary balance in 2016 - 17 and 2017-18, based on data released since our April 2017 Economic and Fiscal Outlook.

Sensitivity of PBO’s Fiscal Outlook to Economic Shocks

The PBO has prepared sensitivity estimates of our fiscal outlook to three types of economic shocks.  An interactive web application has also been launched, which allows the public to assess how changing certain macroeconomic assumptions for growth and interest rates will affect the PBO fiscal projection. http://www.pbo-dpb.gc.ca/en/fiscal-tool

Reforms to the Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer Proposed in Bill C-44

This discussion paper is intended to assist members of the Senate and the House of Commons as they study clauses 128 to 129 and 131 to 190 in Division 7 of Part 4 of Bill C-44, An Act to implement certain provisions of the budget tabled in Parliament on March 22, 2017 and other measures (Bill C-44).

Consultations with Parliamentary Budget Office stakeholders - Nanos Research Presentation, December 16th, 2016

PBO publishes the conclusions of Nanos’ stakeholder consultations in the form of focus groups and elite interviews. The consultations had the overall objective of allowing the PBO to gauge a better understanding of drivers of satisfaction for its stakeholders with the products, reports and analyses it provides them, and thereby improve its service to parliamentarians and stakeholders. 

Economic and Fiscal Outlook - April 2017

This report responds to the 4 February 2016 Standing Committee on Finance motion that “consistent with the Parliamentary Budget Office (PBO) mandate to provide independent analysis about the state of Canada’s finances and trends in the national economy (as outlined in section 79.2 of the Parliament of Canada Act), the PBO provide an economic and fiscal outlook to the Committee the fourth week of October and April of every calendar year, and be available to appear before the Committee to discuss its findings shortly thereafter.”

Economic and Fiscal Monitor 2016-17

This report provides an in-year estimate of Canadian GDP in 2016 and the Government of Canada’s budgetary balance in 2016-17 based on data released since our October 2016 Economic and Fiscal Outlook.

Expenditure Monitor 2016-2017 Q2

Government expenditures for the first half of 2016-2017 were $136.5 billion, an increase of 3.7% over the same period last year.  This growth lags the overall increase in budgeted spending (5.6%), owing to delays in implementing the Government’s economic priorities, in particular new infrastructure investments.

Considerations for Parliament in Reforming the Business of Supply

This report outlines considerations for parliamentarians regarding the Government’s proposals to reform the Business of Supply.

Fall Economic Statement 2016: Issues for Parliamentarians

To assist parliamentarians in their pre-budget deliberations, this report identifies key issues arising from the Government’s Fall Economic Statement 2016.

Economic and Fiscal Outlook October 2016

In response to the 4 February 2016 Standing Committee on Finance motion, this report provides PBO’s economic and fiscal outlook.

Fiscal Sustaintability Report 2016 – Clarification and Additional Information

In response to the 29 June 2016 commentary “Why Canada’s long-term fiscal prospects are not a hot
mess” by A. Yalnizyan (available at:
term-fiscal-prospects-are-not-a-hot-mess/ ), this blog post provides clarification and additional
information related to our 2016 Fiscal Sustainability Report.

Fiscal Sustainability Report 2016

This report extends PBO’s medium-term analysis to assess the fiscal sustainability of Canada’s federal government, subnational governments and public pension plans.

Financial Impacts of Budget 2016 Measures on Selected Families with Children

In response to a request from member for Elgin-Middlesex-London, Mrs. Karen Vecchio, the PBO has prepared estimates of the financial impact of the Budget 2016 measures for the requested eight types of families with children.

Cost Estimate of Bill C-239: An Act to amend the Income Tax Act (Charitable Gifts)

Pursuant to a request from Mr. Pierre-Luc Dusseault, Member of Parliament for Sherbrooke, this note provides a cost estimate of Bill C-239:  An Act to Amend the Income Tax Act (Charitable Benefits).

Expenditure Monitor 2015-2016 Q3

This note analyses the implementation of the Government’s spending plan presented in Budget 2015 for the first nine months of the year.

Updated Table - Budget 2016: Key Issues for Parliamentarians

PBO has updated Summary Table 2 (Table 1-2) presented in its 6 April 2016 report Budget 2016:  Key Issues for Parliamentarians as a result of receiving requested information from Finance Canada.

Budget 2016: Key Issues for Parliamentarians

To assist parliamentarians in their budgetary deliberations, this report identifies key issues arising from Budget 2016:  1) the presentation of the fiscal plan; 2) the Government’s adjustment to the private sector economic assumptions underlying its fiscal plan; and, 3) Finance Canada’s estimates of the economic impacts of budget measures.

Expenditure Monitor 2015-2016 Q2

Total government expenditures for the first half of 2015-16 were $124.7 billion, an increase of 5.5 per cent over the same period last year.

The Fiscal and Distributional Impact of Changes to the Federal Personal Income Tax Regime

PBO estimates that the introduction of the new 33 per cent personal income tax (PIT) rate and the reduction of the
second tax rate to 20.5 per cent will reduce PIT revenues by $0.4 billion in 2015-16 and about $1.7 billion annually
on average from 2016-17 to 2020-21. Reducing the first personal income tax rate from 15.0 to 14.0 per cent would
reduce PIT revenue by $0.9 billion in 2015-16 and about $4.1 billion on average annually from 2016-17 to 2020-21.
Introducing the new tax bracket for taxable income over $200,000 at a rate of 33.0 per cent will primarily affect the
top 1.4 percent of taxpayers. The second bracket change will affect the top 30 percent of taxpayers, while a
reduction in the first bracket would affect the top 60 percent of taxpayers.