On June 23, 2021, the Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO) published a legislative note of the cost of the federal carbon tax exemption for marketable natural gas and propane used by eligible farming machinery as provided in Bill C-206, 43rd Parliament, 2nd Session.
On February 7, 2022, a related bill, Bill C-234, An Act to amend the Greenhouse Gas Pollution Pricing Act, was introduced in Parliament. The bill expands the list of farming machinery eligible for the federal carbon tax exemption to include: a) property used for the purpose of providing heating or cooling to a building or similar structure, including those used for raising or housing livestock, and; b) grain dryers.[1]
The PBO has estimated the cost of C-234. Compared to the previous cost estimate for C-206, PBO has projected total marketable natural gas and propane use in the agricultural sector for Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba, and Ontario based on:
- New projections of natural gas use in the industrial sector (by province) in Canada’s Energy Future Current Policies Scenario (EF2021) published by the Canada Energy Regulator (CER).[2]
- Projections of propane demand other than petrochemical demand included in the CER EF2021.[3]
The PBO continues to use the assumption that the total projected usage of natural gas and propane by farmers are eligible for the carbon pricing exemption, as a very small portion of these fuels have been assigned for personal use.
Bill C-234 costing
$ millions |
2022-23 |
2023-24 |
2024-25 |
2025-26 |
2026-27 |
2027-28 |
2028-29 |
2029-30 |
2030-31 |
Alberta |
13 |
16 |
20 |
23 |
26 |
30 |
34 |
37 |
41 |
Saskatchewan |
7 |
9 |
11 |
13 |
15 |
17 |
19 |
21 |
23 |
Manitoba |
2 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
Ontario |
36 |
47 |
58 |
68 |
78 |
88 |
98 |
107 |
116 |
Total |
57 |
74 |
92 |
108 |
124 |
140 |
155 |
171 |
186 |
Carbon price ($ per tonne) |
50 |
65 |
80 |
95 |
110 |
125 |
140 |
155 |
170 |
[1] Parliament of Canada, Bill C-234, accessed April 04, 2022, https://www.parl.ca/DocumentViewer/en/44-1/bill/C-234/first-reading
[2] The Current Policies Scenario includes policies publicly announced prior to August 2021. It therefore includes the increased carbon pricing under the Federal Strengthened Climate Plan.
[3] Other demands of propane are used as a proxy for the total finale energy use of propane.