Report Archive

Fiscal Analysis of the Interim F-18 Aircraft

To be published.

Canada’s purchase of the Trans Mountain Pipeline – Financial and Economic Considerations - Update

This report provides financial and economic analysis relating to the Government of Canada’s purchase of the Trans Mountain Pipeline, Expansion Project and related assets.

Economic and Fiscal Monitor - February 2019

This report provides an in-year estimate of Canada’s gross domestic product (GDP) in 2018 and the Government of Canada’s budgetary balance in 2018 19, based on data released since our October 2018 Economic and Fiscal Outlook, up to and including 8 February 2019.

Supplementary Estimates (B) 2018-19

This note presents a detailed analysis of the Government’s second supplementary estimates for the 2018-19 fiscal year, which seeks Parliament’s approval of $2.5 billion.

Labour Market Assessment 2018: Wage inequality – Update

This note updates selected results from our assessment published in October 2018, incorporating recently released data for the fourth quarter of 2018.

Canada’s purchase of the Trans Mountain Pipeline – Economic and Financial Considerations

This report provides financial and economic analysis relating to the Government of Canada’s This report provides financial and economic analysis relating to the Government of Canada’s purchase of the Trans Mountain Pipeline, Expansion Project and related assets.of the Trans Mountain Pipeline, Expansion Project and related assets.

Cost Estimate for Bill C-399 “Fairness for Persons with Disabilities Act”

This report responds to a request of Mr. Tom Kmiec, the member for Calgary Shepard, to estimate the financial cost of Bill C-399, which broadens eligibility for the disability tax credit for persons spending extensive time on therapy to support their vital functions.

Costing 2018 Fall Economic Statement and Off-Cycle Measures

In preparation of the upcoming 2019 federal general election, PBO used the 2018 Fall Economic Statement as an opportunity to assess its existing capacity to cost a variety of policy initiatives within a short period of time.

PBO and Finance Canada Long-term Projection Comparison

Consistent with the PBO's legislated mandate, this report provides a comparison of long-term economic and fiscal projections prepared by Finance Canada and PBO in 2018.

Fall Economic Statement 2018: Issues for Parliamentarians

To assist parliamentarians in their pre-budget deliberations, this report identifies key issues arising from the Government’s Fall Economic Statement published on 21 November 2018.

Costing Irregular Migration across Canada's Southern Border

MP Larry Maguire (Brandon – Souris, CPC) requested the PBO to prepare an estimate of the total and projected costs to the federal government in managing the increase in irregular arrivals. This report presents an average unit cost per refugee claimant, based on the costs associated with the federal organizations involved in the asylum process, as well as a sensitivity analysis of future costs.

Cost Estimate of a Reduction in the Federal Corporate Income Tax Rate

This report responds to a request to provide the estimated fiscal cost of reducing the federal corporate income tax rate by 1 percentage point per year over 6 years. By the end of 6 years, this presents a combined federal-provincial statutory rate of 20.7%.

Supplementary Estimates (A) 2018-19

This note presents a detailed analysis of the Government’s first supplementary estimates for the 2018-19 fiscal year, which seeks Parliament’s approval of $7.5 billion.

The Strategic Personnel Generation Model (SPGM) Version 1.0

This note provides a technical description of a “personnel generation” model that estimates, and forecasts costs associated with, increases in military personnel.  Personnel generation is central to military organizations; it is the first modelled within PBO’s family of tools designed to assess the overall defence portfolio.

Economic and Fiscal Outlook - October 2018 - Revised Oct. 31, 2018

Consistent with the Parliamentary Budget Officer’s legislated mandate, this report provides PBO’s economic and fiscal outlook.

Labour Market Assessment - 2018

This report provides parliamentarians with an assessment of the state of Canada’s labour market. It examines labour market indicators relative to their trend estimates, and looks at wage inequality at the national level, as well as across provinces and by gender.

Cost Estimate for Motion M-141: Amending the Employment Insurance Act

This report estimates the increase in Employment Insurance (EI) benefits payable following the implementation of private member’s motion M-141. This motion amends section 55 of the Employment Insurance Act to allow spouses of (i) military personnel and (ii) foreign service personnel to qualify for Employment Insurance while posted outside of Canada.

Fiscal Sustainability Report 2018

This report provides PBO’s assessment of the sustainability of government finances over the long term for the federal government, subnational governments and public pension plans.

Status Report on Phase 1 of the Investing in Canada Plan

This report a status update on Phase 1 of the Government’s Investing in Canada Plan, which was announced in Budget 2016 and intended to provide a short-term economic boost to the economy.